Who will run for president in 2028?

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 7, 2028 · $128 today · $4.6K traded · $3K at stake · prices read 5 min ago

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The odds

54%Thomas Massie
  • Thomas Massie54%▲ 1
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene35%▲ 1
  • Kanye West34%▲ 1
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.31%
  • Tucker Carlson26%▲ 1
  • Andrew Yang25%▲ 1
  • Justin Amash20%▲ 1
  • Mark Cuban17%
  • Jon Stewart15%
  • Joe Manchin13%
  • Joe Rogan7%▲ 2
  • Larry Hogan6%
7 more
  • DeAndre Way6%
  • Jesse Ventura6%
  • Jamie Dimon5%
  • Dwayne Johnson5%
  • Matthew McConaughey5%
  • Howard Schultz5%
  • Aaron Rodgers5%

How the odds have moved

Thomas Massie: 41% on Oct 20, 54% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Thomas Massie 54% ▲ 1 49¢ 58¢ $1.72 717
Marjorie Taylor Greene 35% ▲ 1 31¢ 38¢ $2.63 2.6K
Kanye West 34% ▲ 1 30¢ 37¢ $2.70 931
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 31% 26¢ 35¢ $2.86 4.6K
Tucker Carlson 26% ▲ 1 22¢ 29¢ $3.45 76.00
Andrew Yang 25% ▲ 1 21¢ 29¢ $3.45 3.2K
Justin Amash 20% ▲ 1 16¢ 23¢ $4.35
Mark Cuban 17% 12¢ 21¢ $4.76 1.6K
Jon Stewart 15% 11¢ 19¢ $5.26 2.2K
Joe Manchin 13% 10¢ 16¢ $6.25 797
Joe Rogan 7% ▲ 2 2¢ 12¢ $8.33 577
Larry Hogan 6% 2¢ 10¢ $10.00
DeAndre Way 6% 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 1.00
Jesse Ventura 6% 2¢ 9¢ $11.11
Jamie Dimon 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.29
Dwayne Johnson 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29
Matthew McConaughey 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 189
Howard Schultz 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29
Aaron Rodgers 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Thomas Massie, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Kanye West

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All president 2028 ›
Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%Jon Ossoff
  • Jon Ossoff27%▲ 2
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
  • Gavin Newsom9%▼ 2
54 more
  • Pete Buttigieg6%
  • Kamala Harris5%▼ 1
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Andy Beshear4%
  • Raphael Warnock4%
  • Ro Khanna2%▼ 1
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • James Talarico2%▼ 1
  • J.B. Pritzker2%
  • Abdul El-Sayed1%
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%▲ 1
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Roy Cooper1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Shawn Fain<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Jon Stewart<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Bernie Sanders<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Adam Hamilton<1%
  • Scott Colom<1%
Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%Jon Ossoff
  • Jon Ossoff19%▲ 2
  • JD Vance17%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%
55 more
  • Marco Rubio9%
  • Gavin Newsom8%
  • Ron DeSantis6%▼ 1
  • Kamala Harris3%▼ 1
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Thomas Massie2%
  • Tucker Carlson2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • James Talarico1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Abdul El-Sayed1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.<1%
  • Rahm Emanuel<1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Cory Booker<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
  • James Fishback<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

31%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance31%▼ 1
  • Marco Rubio20%▼ 1
  • Ron DeSantis15%
40 more
  • Tucker Carlson4%
  • John McEntee4%
  • Ted Cruz3%
  • Thomas Massie3%
  • Glenn Youngkin2%
  • Brian Kemp2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Nikki Haley1%
  • Byron Donalds1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Josh Hawley1%
  • Rand Paul1%
  • Joe Kent1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene1%
  • Tom Cotton1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions