2028 Republican Presidential ticket

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 7, 2028 · $32 today · $5.4K traded · $3.4K at stake · prices read 36 min ago

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The odds

12%JD Vance and Marco Rubio

JD Vance and Marco Rubio12%
Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio5%▲ 2
JD Vance and Donald Trump Jr.4%
JD Vance and Erika Kirk3%
JD Vance and Sarah Huckabee Sanders3%
Marco Rubio and JD Vance2%▼ 1
Marco Rubio and Glenn Youngkin2%
JD Vance and Elise Stefanik2%
Marco Rubio and Erika Kirk2%
Marco Rubio and Sarah Huckabee Sanders2%
Marco Rubio and Byron Donalds2%
Marco Rubio and Donald Trump Jr.2%

13 more

JD Vance and Glenn Youngkin1%
JD Vance and Byron Donalds1%
Tucker Carlson and Marco Rubio1%
Tucker Carlson and JD Vance1%
Marco Rubio and Elise Stefanik1%
Ron DeSantis and JD Vance1%
Donald Trump and Marco Rubio1%
Thomas Massie and Marco Rubio1%
JD Vance and Donald Trump1%
Marco Rubio and Donald Trump1%
Donald Trump Jr. and Marco Rubio1%
Glenn Youngkin and Marco Rubio1%
Tucker Carlson and Erika Kirk<1%

How the odds have moved

JD Vance and Marco Rubio: 27% on Oct 20, 12% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
JD Vance and Marco Rubio	12%		9¢	14¢	$7.14	24.1K
Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio	5%	▲ 2	2¢	9¢	$11.36	9.0K
JD Vance and Donald Trump Jr.	4%		4¢	5¢	$22.22	6.5K
JD Vance and Erika Kirk	3%		3¢	3¢	$29.41	22.2K
JD Vance and Sarah Huckabee Sanders	3%		2¢	3¢	$31.25	5.9K
Marco Rubio and JD Vance	2%	▼ 1	1¢	3¢	$30.30	13.6K
Marco Rubio and Glenn Youngkin	2%		1¢	3¢	$35.71	438
JD Vance and Elise Stefanik	2%		2¢	2¢	$47.62	11.9K
Marco Rubio and Erika Kirk	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	392
Marco Rubio and Sarah Huckabee Sanders	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	1.2K
Marco Rubio and Byron Donalds	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	4.2K
Marco Rubio and Donald Trump Jr.	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	401
JD Vance and Glenn Youngkin	1%		0¢	3¢	$35.71	5.8K
JD Vance and Byron Donalds	1%		0¢	3¢	$35.71	2.5K
Tucker Carlson and Marco Rubio	1%		0¢	3¢	$37.04	1.6K
Tucker Carlson and JD Vance	1%		0¢	2¢	$50.00	3.3K
Marco Rubio and Elise Stefanik	1%		0¢	2¢	$50.00	867
Ron DeSantis and JD Vance	1%		0¢	2¢	$50.00	1.2K
Donald Trump and Marco Rubio	1%		0¢	2¢	$58.82	1.0K
Thomas Massie and Marco Rubio	1%		0¢	1¢	$71.43	1.7K
JD Vance and Donald Trump	1%		0¢	1¢	$76.92	5.8K
Marco Rubio and Donald Trump	1%		0¢	1¢	$76.92	6.8K
Donald Trump Jr. and Marco Rubio	1%		0¢	1¢	$83.33	2.9K
Glenn Youngkin and Marco Rubio	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	100
Tucker Carlson and Erika Kirk	<1%		0¢	0¢		364

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Republican Presidential

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Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner · 14 days agoVance leads Rubio by double digits in early 2028 Republican poll Washington Examiner Vice President JD Vance is leading Secretary of State Marco Rubio by 10 points in an early look at the 2028 Republican presidential primary field…
Chinese-funded institutes on U.S. college campuses condemned in Senate reportPOLITICO · 14 days agoA scathing Senate report released Wednesday says that without major changes, so-called Confucius Institutes paid for by the Chinese government and operating on dozens of American college campuses should shut down. Republicans have long…
Vivek Ramaswamy’s Amy Acton ad makes a false – and sickening – argumentthe Guardian · 14 days agoRepublican attacks on the candidate for governor are contradictory and hinge on a warped understanding of sexual abuse I’ve heard people say that the Ramaswamy team must have been scared. Last week, the campaign of Vivek Ramaswamy, the…
Trump escalates anti-Muslim attacks against El-Sayed in MichiganNPR · 15 days agoPORT HURON, Mich. — President Donald Trump intensified his anti-Muslim rhetoric against Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed on Sunday, portraying him as a threat to national security and questioning his loyalty to the United States in…
GOP insider begs Republicans to help Democrats 'rein in' TrumpAlternet.org · 14 days agoOn Monday, a longtime GOP insider and war expert declared that Republicans should help Democrats ârein inâ President Donald Trump. According to military historian Max Boot â who has advised several Republican presidential campaigns…
President Trump to hold midterm rally in South Carolina in effort to close voting gapWXII · 14 days agoPresident Donald Trump is holding a midterm election rally just days after making an appearance in South Carolina, but this time in Rock Hill. According to WCNC, the Republican National Committee said Trump will give remarks on Thursday…
I care about GOP values. That's why I’m voting for James Talarico.Houston Chronicle · 14 days agoJames Talarico, Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate. I am a Republican who won four contested elections on the Republican ticket for chief justice of the Texas Supreme Court. But this year, I will vote for Democrat James Talarico for U.S…
Bush Daughter Genuinely “Admires” Talaricoiotwreport.com · 14 days agoLegal Insurrection: Last week, it was widely reported that Barbara Bush, the daughter of former... The animosity between President Donald Trump and the Bush family, which began with Trump’s attacks on Jeb Bush during the 2016 Republican…
Fox Sports runs America Next TV ad ‘Full of Hate’ on weekend football broadcastsAugusta Free Press · 14 days agoA shady outfit calling itself America Next ran a TV ad with the title “Full of Hate” on Fox Sports – of course it was Fox Sports – on the Indiana-Michigan game on Saturday and the Detroit-Green Bay game on Sunday. The thrust of the…
DeSantis gifts Trump coin showing him flipping off would-be assassins: ‘You missed bitches’New York Post · 17 days agoFORT MYERS, Fla. – Florida Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis gifted President Trump a coin Friday with a defiant message to his would-be killers ahead of a rally in the Sunshine State. The custom gold challenge coin depicts the smiling…
Elon Musk, enemy of ‘open borders,’ launched his career working illegallyAnchorage Daily News · 14 days agoPALO ALTO, Calif. - Long before he became one of Donald Trump’s biggest donors and campaign surrogates, South African-born Elon Musk worked illegally in the United States as he launched his entrepreneurial career after ditching a graduate…
As South Texas Republicans brace for losses, Ryan Guillen’s career offers a possible roadmap backThe Texas Tribune · 15 days agoby Alejandro Serrano, The Texas Tribune October 26, 2026 No pocket of the country better captured the Republican Party’s courting of Latino voters two years ago than South Texas’ Starr County, a border community that’s 97% Latino and in…

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Elections › President 2028

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Kamala Harris5%▼ 1
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Gretchen Whitmer1%
Cory Booker1%
Roy Cooper1%
Michelle Obama<1%
Shawn Fain<1%
Ruben Gallego<1%
Jon Stewart<1%
Hillary Clinton<1%
Bernie Sanders<1%
Chris Murphy<1%
Chris Van Hollen<1%
Stephen A. Smith<1%
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Gina Raimondo<1%
Zohran Mamdani<1%
Jared Polis<1%
Barack Obama<1%
Phil Murphy<1%
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Hakeem Jeffries<1%
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Josh Stein<1%
Mitch Landrieu<1%
Tim Walz<1%
MrBeast<1%
Oprah Winfrey<1%
John Fetterman<1%
Liz Cheney<1%
LeBron James<1%
George Clooney<1%
Andrew Yang<1%
Beto O’Rourke<1%
Kim Kardashian<1%
Graham Platner<1%
Adam Schiff<1%
Alex Padilla<1%
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Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff19%▲ 2
JD Vance17%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%

55 more

Marco Rubio9%
Gavin Newsom8%
Ron DeSantis6%▼ 1
Kamala Harris3%▼ 1
Pete Buttigieg3%
Josh Shapiro3%
Andy Beshear2%
Thomas Massie2%
Tucker Carlson2%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
Donald Trump1%
Raphael Warnock1%
James Talarico1%
Wes Moore1%
Mark Kelly1%
Ro Khanna1%
Abdul El-Sayed1%
JB Pritzker1%
Ivanka Trump1%
Ted Cruz1%
Glenn Youngkin<1%
Donald Trump Jr.<1%
Rahm Emanuel<1%
Gretchen Whitmer<1%
Nikki Haley<1%
Elon Musk<1%
Michelle Obama<1%
Jamie Dimon<1%
Tom Cotton<1%
Cory Booker<1%
Tulsi Gabbard<1%
Zohran Mamdani<1%
Elissa Slotkin<1%
Stephen Smith<1%
Tim Walz<1%
Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
Greg Abbott<1%
LeBron James<1%
Kim Kardashian<1%
Eric Trump<1%
Pete Hegseth<1%
Jalen Brunson<1%
Abigail Spanberger<1%
Hakeem Jeffries<1%
Adam Schiff<1%
Josh Stein<1%
Alex Padilla<1%
Candace Owens<1%
Tim Scott<1%
Mike Johnson<1%
Doug Burgum<1%
John N. Kennedy<1%
Rick Scott<1%
James Fishback<1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%

Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

31%J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance31%▼ 1
Marco Rubio20%▼ 1
Ron DeSantis15%

40 more

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John McEntee4%
Ted Cruz3%
Thomas Massie3%
Glenn Youngkin2%
Brian Kemp2%
Donald Trump Jr.2%
Nikki Haley1%
Byron Donalds1%
Donald Trump1%
Ivanka Trump1%
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Rand Paul1%
Joe Kent1%
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Marjorie Taylor Greene1%
Tom Cotton1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
Tim Scott<1%
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Elon Musk<1%
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Steve Bannon<1%
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Elections › President 2028

Blue wave in 2026?

>99%chance▲ 8

Elections › President 2028

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)

44.0median

39.548.5

Median 44.0Middle half 43.8 – 44.3

Elections › President 2028

AP calls the House by...?

>99%November 4, 11:59 PM

November 4, 11:59 PM>99%▲ 22
November 5, 11:59 PM>99%▲ 18
November 6, 11:59 PM>99%▲ 16

3 more

November 15, 11:59 PM>99%▲ 6
November 30, 11:59 PM>99%▲ 2
November 3, 11:59 PM<1%▼ 40

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onRepublican Party

Trading closesNov 7, 2028 10:00 AM ET

Traded$5.4K (133,747 contracts)

Today$32

At stake$3.4K

In the news1 headlines today, 2 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the Republican presidential nominee is JD Vance AND the Republican vice presidential nominee is Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions