Will John Thune run for reelection? (Before Mar 28, 2028)

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Mar 28, 2028 · $1.2K traded · $763 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

79%chance▼ 3

How the odds have moved

Yes: 73% on Oct 19, 79% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 79% ▼ 3 77¢ 80¢ $1.25 1.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: John Thune

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Elections › President 2028

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27%Jon Ossoff
  • Jon Ossoff27%▲ 2
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
  • Gavin Newsom9%▲ 1
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  • Pete Buttigieg6%
  • Kamala Harris5%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Andy Beshear4%
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  • Ro Khanna2%▼ 1
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • James Talarico2%▼ 1
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  • Abdul El-Sayed1%▼ 1
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  • Chelsea Clinton1%▲ 1
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Roy Cooper1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Jon Stewart<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Bernie Sanders<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
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  • Liz Cheney<1%
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Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%Jon Ossoff
  • Jon Ossoff19%▲ 2
  • JD Vance18%
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  • Gavin Newsom8%
  • Ron DeSantis6%▼ 1
  • Kamala Harris3%▼ 1
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  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Thomas Massie2%
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  • Wes Moore1%
  • James Talarico1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
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  • LeBron James<1%
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Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

33%J.D. Vance
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  • Marco Rubio20%▼ 1
  • Ron DeSantis15%
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  • Ted Cruz3%
  • Thomas Massie3%
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  • Rick Scott<1%
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  • Candace Owens<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions