Larry Householder: 18% on Oct 20, 17% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Householder | 17% | 13¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 3.4K | |
| Tim Leissner | 12% | ▲ 3 | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 6.7K |
| Michael Cohen | 12% | 9¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 25.0K | |
| Rachel Cherwitz | 11% | 8¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 6.8K | |
| Josh Wander | 11% | 7¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 221 | |
| Keonne Rodriguez | 10% | 8¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 7.0K | |
| Nicole Daedone | 9% | 9¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 8.3K | |
| Robin Smith | 8% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 495 |
| Jho Low | 7% | 5¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 6.7K | |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle | 7% | 3¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 1.0K | |
| John Kiriakou | 7% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 31.5K |
| Leonard Glenn Francis | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 2.7K | |
| Bill Hwang | 6% | ▲ 5 | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.71 | 14.0K |
| Matt Borges | 5% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 29.00 | |
| Kenneth Petty | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.66 | 10.0K | |
| Steve Bannon | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $15.63 | 10.5K | |
| Torence Hatch | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $19.61 | 6.5K | |
| Braden John Karony | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 359 | |
| Sean Combs | 4% | ▼ 2 | 3¢ | 5¢ | $18.52 | 70.1K |
| Bob Menendez | 4% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.49 | 4.1K |
| Jared Kushner | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | 17.4K | |
| Julian Assange | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $22.22 | 6.1K | |
| Aimee Bock | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $15.15 | 129 | |
| Roger Ver | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $15.87 | 4.2K | |
| Martin Shkreli | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $17.54 | 25.0K | |
| Elizabeth Holmes | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 17.6K | |
| Charlie Javice | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 11.9K | |
| Sam Bankman-Fried | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $22.73 | 81.5K | |
| Ghislaine Maxwell | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $23.26 | 88.9K | |
| Eric Adams | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $19.23 | 3.9K | |
| Donald Trump | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $23.26 | 22.0K | |
| Derek Chauvin | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $23.26 | 97.1K | |
| Edward Snowden | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $23.26 | 8.8K | |
| Nicolás Maduro | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $38.46 | 19.5K | |
| Joseph Maldonado | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | 3.3K | |
| Tal Alexander | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | 3.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions