Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
New Mexico Senate election: Ben Ray Luján vote percent
The odds
63.25%median
58%68%
Median 63.25%Middle half 62.32% – 64.38%
How the odds have moved
Median: 59.3% on Oct 19, 63.25% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 84% | 72¢ | $1.20 | 449 | ||
| At least 62% | 84% | 10¢ | $1.20 | 403 | ||
| At least 64% | 30% | 49¢ | $2.04 | 1.0K | ||
| At least 66% | 4% | 15¢ | $6.67 | 245 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Mexico Senate, Ben Ray Luján
Search ›- Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy is hospitalized with a strokeSen. Chris Murphy, D-Conn., has been hospitalized following a stroke, according to his office. In a statement on Sunday, Murphy's chief of staff, Allison Herwitt, said he is expected to make a full recovery. "Yesterday afternoon, Senator…
- Senator Chris Murphy expected to make full recovery after strokeUS Senator Chris Murphy has been taken to hospital after suffering a stroke on Saturday, his team has said. The 53-year-old Connecticut Democrat was at his son's hockey game when he began feeling "numbness in his arm" and was taken to…
- New Mexico U.S. Senate Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsSee how votes are shifting as results come in across New Mexico. Shift to Democrats Shift to Republicans Arrow size indicates shift magnitude Vote-shift comparisons are shown once enough of the ... New Mexico Senate Results 2026 See how…
- New Mexico gubernatorial candidates to each rally ahead of Election DayThe major party candidates vying to become the next governor of New Mexico are each set to host a rally ahead of Election Day. New Mexico gubernatorial candidates to each rally ahead of Election Day New Mexico gubernatorial candidates to…
- Florida Stays Red, Texas Could See Senate Swing in U.S. ElectionPublic Opinion Polls and Analysis Democratic candidates are ahead of their Republican rivals in Colorado, Georgia, Illinois and New Mexico. Vancouver, BC [November 2, 2026] – Texas could elect a Democratic Party U.S. Senator for the first…
- Connecticut Sen. Chris Murphy was watching his son play hockey when a sudden loss of feeling in his arm led to an emergency hospital visit53-year-old Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy took a break from the campaign trail on Saturday, October 31, 2026, to watch his son’s hockey game. While there, he experienced numbness in his arm, which led to an emergency hospital visit…
- Sen. Chris Murphy had a stroke and is in the hospital, his office saysIn a statement Sunday, Murphy’s chief of staff, Allison Herwitt, said the senator “started experiencing numbness in his arm while at his son’s hockey game” on Saturday. “He was taken to a local hospital, where it was discovered he had…
- Vasquez faces Republican challenger Greg CunninghamPolls close at 7 p.m. on Nov. 3. Check back for updated results from these races. The 2nd Congressional District remains an important seat to both major political parties. Democrat incumbent Gabe Vasquez seeks his third term and will face…
- Election Day: Voters decidePeople wait in line to vote outside of the Taos County Administration Complex during last year's local election. Live general election results will be updated every 5 minutes at taosnews.com on election night, from county-level races, to…
- Connecticut Sen. Chris Murphy is in the hospital after having a stroke, his office saysU.S. Senator Chris Murphy is in the hospital after having a stroke and is “awake and alert” as he receives treatment, the Connecticut Democrat’s office said Sunday. Senator Chris Murphy is in the hospital after having a stroke and is…
- JUST IN: Democrat Senator Chris Murphy Hospitalized After StrokeDemocratic Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy has been hospitalized after suffering a stroke on Friday during his son’s hockey game, his office said. Murphy felt numbness in his arm during the contest, when he was taken to the hospital and…
- BREAKING: Dem Senator Hospitalized After Suffering A strokeU.S. Senator Chris Murphy (D-CT) was hospitalized after experiencing a stroke on Saturday afternoon. The 53-year-old lawmaker first noticed numbness in his arm while attending his son’s hockey game. He was taken to a local hospital, where…
Related markets
All around the world ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions