Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Jon Ossoff
37%
▲ 3
35¢
38¢
$2.63
$6K
Raphael Warnock
16%
15¢
16¢
$6.25
$7K
Kamala Harris
14%
13¢
15¢
$6.67
$11.5K
Gavin Newsom
5%
3¢
7¢
$13.70
$5.7K
Cory Booker
5%
1¢
8¢
$12.50
$1.2K
Wes Moore
4%
1¢
7¢
$14.29
$611
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
4%
1¢
7¢
$14.29
$613
J.B. Pritzker
3%
▼ 1
1¢
5¢
$19.61
$691
Mark Kelly
3%
1¢
5¢
$21.74
$947
Pete Buttigieg
2%
0¢
4¢
$25.64
$440
Jon Stewart
1%
0¢
2¢
$58.82
$1.2K
Andy Beshear
1%
0¢
1¢
$420
Ro Khanna
1%
0¢
1¢
$399
Michelle Obama
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$655
Bernie Sanders
1%
0¢
1¢
$487
Roy Cooper
<1%
0¢
1¢
$353
James Talarico
<1%
0¢
1¢
$408
Rahm Emanuel
<1%
0¢
0¢
$490
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
0¢
0¢
$503
Josh Shapiro
<1%
0¢
0¢
$440
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary, Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions