Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Polymarket Elections › President 2028 Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $10.1K today · $24K traded · $30.3K at stake · prices read 23 min ago

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The odds

95%Pete Buttigieg
  • Pete Buttigieg95%▼ 2
  • Andy Beshear91%▲ 1
  • Ron DeSantis91%▲ 1
  • Rahm Emanuel86%▲ 1
  • Josh Shapiro85%▲ 6
  • Ted Cruz85%
  • J.B. Pritzker84%
  • Gavin Newsom82%
  • Wes Moore75%▲ 3
  • J.D. Vance72%
  • Mark Kelly69%▲ 1
  • Cory Booker65%
59 more
  • Brian Kemp65%▲ 6
  • Rand Paul62%▲ 3
  • Jon Ossoff61%▲ 2
  • Raphael Warnock61%▲ 1
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez59%▼ 2
  • Kamala Harris59%▲ 1
  • Marco Rubio57%▲ 3
  • Glenn Youngkin46%▼ 6
  • Gretchen Whitmer38%▲ 6
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders38%▲ 11
  • Andrew Yang36%
  • Josh Hawley29%▲ 1
  • Hunter Biden27%▼ 1
  • Jared Polis27%▼ 2
  • Phil Murphy27%▲ 3
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene26%
  • Steve Bannon24%
  • Nikki Haley24%▲ 6
  • Elise Stefanik24%
  • Tulsi Gabbard20%▼ 1
  • Katie Britt20%▼ 5
  • Greg Abbott19%▼ 1
  • Don Lemon19%▼ 4
  • Stephen A. Smith18%▼ 1
  • Tucker Carlson18%▼ 1
  • Liz Cheney17%▼ 1
  • Donald Trump Jr.17%
  • Candace Owens17%
  • Gina Raimondo17%▼ 7
  • Matt Gaetz16%▲ 2
  • Kristi Noem16%▼ 2
  • Roy Cooper16%▲ 2
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson16%
  • Mike Pence16%▼ 1
  • Mark Cuban15%▼ 3
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.14%▼ 1
  • John Fetterman13%▼ 9
  • Byron Donalds13%▼ 1
  • George Clooney13%
  • Oprah Winfrey13%
  • Jon Stewart12%▼ 1
  • Beto O’Rourke12%
  • Donald Trump12%
  • John Thune11%▼ 1
  • Michelle Obama11%▼ 1
  • Bernie Sanders10%
  • Kim Kardashian10%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy10%▼ 1
  • Chelsea Clinton9%
  • Elon Musk9%▼ 1
  • Tom Brady9%▼ 1
  • LeBron James8%
  • Zohran Mamdani8%
  • MrBeast8%
  • Ivanka Trump7%
  • Erika Kirk7%▼ 1
  • Tim Walz5%
  • Hillary Clinton4%
  • Barack Obama2%

How the odds have moved

Pete Buttigieg: 79% on Oct 20, 95% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 29, 11 PM ETPete Buttigieg: 86% → 78%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 26, 11 PM ETPete Buttigieg: 80% → 87%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Pete Buttigieg 95% ▼ 2 93¢ 97¢ $1.03 $11.9K
Andy Beshear 91% ▲ 1 91¢ 91¢ $1.10 $2.1K
Ron DeSantis 91% ▲ 1 90¢ 91¢ $1.10 $6.4K
Rahm Emanuel 86% ▲ 1 82¢ 89¢ $1.12 $2.7K
Josh Shapiro 85% ▲ 6 84¢ 86¢ $1.16 $4.4K
Ted Cruz 85% 84¢ 85¢ $1.18 $14.6K
J.B. Pritzker 84% 83¢ 85¢ $1.18 $5.4K
Gavin Newsom 82% 81¢ 83¢ $1.20 $8.7K
Wes Moore 75% ▲ 3 73¢ 76¢ $1.32 $7K
J.D. Vance 72% 71¢ 73¢ $1.37 $9.5K
Mark Kelly 69% ▲ 1 68¢ 70¢ $1.43 $854
Cory Booker 65% 61¢ 69¢ $1.45 $3.4K
Brian Kemp 65% ▲ 6 42¢ 87¢ $1.15 $517
Rand Paul 62% ▲ 3 61¢ 62¢ $1.61 $532
Jon Ossoff 61% ▲ 2 60¢ 61¢ $1.64 $15.3K
Raphael Warnock 61% ▲ 1 60¢ 61¢ $1.64 $2.4K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 59% ▼ 2 57¢ 61¢ $1.64 $30.5K
Kamala Harris 59% ▲ 1 58¢ 60¢ $1.67 $6.7K
Marco Rubio 57% ▲ 3 55¢ 59¢ $1.69 $9.8K
Glenn Youngkin 46% ▼ 6 44¢ 48¢ $2.08 $820
Gretchen Whitmer 38% ▲ 6 36¢ 39¢ $2.56 $980
Sarah Huckabee Sanders 38% ▲ 11 37¢ 38¢ $2.63 $200
Andrew Yang 36% 35¢ 36¢ $2.78 $4.5K
Josh Hawley 29% ▲ 1 28¢ 30¢ $3.33 $5.3K
Hunter Biden 27% ▼ 1 26¢ 28¢ $3.57 $6.5K
Jared Polis 27% ▼ 2 26¢ 27¢ $3.70 $279
Phil Murphy 27% ▲ 3 25¢ 28¢ $3.57 $2.6K
Marjorie Taylor Greene 26% 25¢ 27¢ $3.70 $538
Steve Bannon 24% 22¢ 26¢ $3.85 $3K
Nikki Haley 24% ▲ 6 23¢ 24¢ $4.17 $680
Elise Stefanik 24% 23¢ 24¢ $4.17 $89
Tulsi Gabbard 20% ▼ 1 19¢ 20¢ $5.00 $957
Katie Britt 20% ▼ 5 19¢ 20¢ $5.00 $31
Greg Abbott 19% ▼ 1 18¢ 20¢ $5.00 $241
Don Lemon 19% ▼ 4 18¢ 19¢ $5.26 $144
Stephen A. Smith 18% ▼ 1 17¢ 19¢ $5.26 $1.1K
Tucker Carlson 18% ▼ 1 17¢ 18¢ $5.56 $4.4K
Liz Cheney 17% ▼ 1 16¢ 18¢ $5.56 $1.9K
Donald Trump Jr. 17% 16¢ 18¢ $5.56 $3.6K
Candace Owens 17% 15¢ 19¢ $5.26 $634
Gina Raimondo 17% ▼ 7 15¢ 18¢ $5.56 $2.3K
Matt Gaetz 16% ▲ 2 13¢ 19¢ $5.26 $378
Kristi Noem 16% ▼ 2 15¢ 17¢ $5.88 $80
Roy Cooper 16% ▲ 2 14¢ 17¢ $5.88 $140
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 16% 15¢ 16¢ $6.25 $1.1K
Mike Pence 16% ▼ 1 15¢ 16¢ $6.25 $691
Mark Cuban 15% ▼ 3 14¢ 16¢ $6.25 $1.4K
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 14% ▼ 1 14¢ 15¢ $6.67 $1.7K
John Fetterman 13% ▼ 9 11¢ 15¢ $6.67 $3.7K
Byron Donalds 13% ▼ 1 11¢ 15¢ $6.67 $316
George Clooney 13% 12¢ 13¢ $7.63 $1.6K
Oprah Winfrey 13% 12¢ 13¢ $7.69 $57
Jon Stewart 12% ▼ 1 11¢ 12¢ $8.33 $2.7K
Beto O’Rourke 12% 11¢ 12¢ $8.33 $25
Donald Trump 12% 10¢ 13¢ $7.69 $552
John Thune 11% ▼ 1 10¢ 12¢ $8.33 $490
Michelle Obama 11% ▼ 1 10¢ 11¢ $9.09 $1.6K
Bernie Sanders 10% 9¢ 10¢ $10.00 $3.2K
Kim Kardashian 10% 9¢ 10¢ $10.00 $5.6K
Vivek Ramaswamy 10% ▼ 1 9¢ 10¢ $10.00 $1.6K
Chelsea Clinton 9% 9¢ 10¢ $10.31 $261
Elon Musk 9% ▼ 1 8¢ 10¢ $10.00 $3.1K
Tom Brady 9% ▼ 1 8¢ 9¢ $11.11 $1.7K
LeBron James 8% 8¢ 8¢ $12.82 $726
Zohran Mamdani 8% 7¢ 8¢ $12.50 $5.5K
MrBeast 8% 7¢ 8¢ $12.50 $2.1K
Ivanka Trump 7% 7¢ 8¢ $13.16 $621
Erika Kirk 7% ▼ 1 6¢ 7¢ $14.29 $4.6K
Tim Walz 5% 5¢ 5¢ $18.87 $6K
Hillary Clinton 4% 3¢ 4¢ $24.39 $4.6K
Barack Obama 2% 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 $634

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Pete Buttigieg, Andy Beshear, Ron DeSantis

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
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  • Jamie Dimon<1%
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  • Cory Booker<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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