Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Crypto.com Elections › President 2028 Closes Feb 1, 2029 · $3.4K today · $3.4K traded · prices read 3 min ago

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The odds

32%JD Vance
  • JD Vance32%
  • Marco Rubio18%
  • Ron DeSantis17%
  • Tucker Carlson5%
  • Glenn Youngkin4%
  • Brian Kemp4%
  • Ted Cruz4%
  • Donald J. Trump Jr.3%
  • Nikki Haley3%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.3%
  • Tulsi Gabbard3%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy3%

How the odds have moved

JD Vance: 45% on Oct 20, 32% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Crypto.com. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
JD Vance 32% 31¢ 37¢ $2.70 610
Marco Rubio 18% 16¢ 23¢ $4.35 443
Ron DeSantis 17% 14¢ 21¢ $4.76 447
Tucker Carlson 5% 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 1.4K
Glenn Youngkin 4% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50
Brian Kemp 4% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 302
Ted Cruz 4% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 73.00
Donald J. Trump Jr. 3% 7¢ $14.29
Nikki Haley 3% 6¢ $16.67 110
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3% 6¢ $16.67
Tulsi Gabbard 3% 6¢ $16.67
Vivek Ramaswamy 3% 6¢ $16.67

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

2028 Republican presidential nominee

34%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance34%
  • Marco Rubio18%▼ 3
  • Ron DeSantis17%
  • Tucker Carlson3%
39 more
  • Glenn Youngkin3%
  • Brian Kemp3%▲ 1
  • Ted Cruz3%
  • Thomas Massie2%
  • Donald J. Trump2%
  • Nikki Haley1%
  • Donald J. Trump Jr.1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene1%
  • Josh Hawley1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Byron Donalds1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders1%
  • Tom Cotton1%
  • Rand Paul1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Chris Christie<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • John Kennedy<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Spencer Pratt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Jeff Bezos<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Nicki Minaj<1%
  • Lara Trump<1%
  • Ben Shapiro<1%
  • Wesley Hunt<1%
KalshiCloses Nov 7, 2028 · $108K today · $4.9M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Polymarket

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

33%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance33%
  • Marco Rubio20%▼ 1
  • Ron DeSantis15%
  • Tucker Carlson4%
39 more
  • John McEntee4%
  • Ted Cruz3%
  • Thomas Massie3%
  • Glenn Youngkin2%
  • Brian Kemp2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Nikki Haley1%
  • Byron Donalds1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Josh Hawley1%
  • Rand Paul1%
  • Joe Kent1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene1%
  • Tom Cotton1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
PolymarketCloses Nov 7, 2028 · $583K today · $732M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Republican Presidential, JD Vance, Marco Rubio

Search ›
  • JD Vance and Marco Rubio emerge as key 2028 Republican presidential contendersFox Business · 5 days agoThe 2028 Republican presidential race begins to take shape as analysts evaluate potential contenders. President Donald Trump's upcoming policy decisions and Don Junior's early endorsement of JD Vance spark active on-air debate. Meanwhile…
  • Why the 2026 Midterms Could Hurt JD Vance and Help Marco Rubio in 2028Newsweek · 5 days agoNov 04, 2026 at 07:08 PM EST Nov 04, 2026 at 07:28 PM EST Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio woke up Wednesday to a political map far less friendly to their 2028 ambitions. While many expected a strong night for…
  • Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis plans another run at White HouseThe Washington Post · 3 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Florida’s status as…
  • As MAGA Falters, Ron DeSantis Steps Out of the ShadowsNewsweek · 3 days agoNov 06, 2026 at 11:39 AM EST Florida’s outgoing governor Ron DeSantis has been fiercely criticizing Republicans since the GOP’s shellacking in the midterm elections, raising questions about whether the offensive is the opening gambit of…
  • Marco Rubio insists he won’t quit Trump admin — but demurs on growing 2028 buzzNew York Post · 4 days agoSecretary of State Marco Rubio says he is staying put as speculation swirls about his 2028 ambitions, which he declined to address. The top US diplomat and national security adviser dismissed reports by multiple outlets Thursday indicating…
  • JD Vance praises Stephen Miller as an ‘amazing patriot’Fox News · 3 days agoFox News JD Vance praises Stephen Miller as an ‘amazing patriot’ ‘The Story’ reports on President Donald Trump’s announcement that Stephen Miller will replace Susie Wiles as White House chief of staff.
  • JD Vance’s economic vision is a disaster for the GOPWashington Examiner · 3 days agoWashington Examiner Perhaps the most telling polling of the post-election Republican debacle compares the public’s view of the economy during President Donald Trump’s first term (before COVID-19) and second. During Trump I, the president…
  • Why did El-Sayed call JD Vance ‘habibi’? | CNN PoliticsCNN · 3 days agoMichigan Sen.-elect Abdul El-Sayed called Vice President JD Vance “habibi” during his victory speech. But the Arabic term of affection can have very different meanings depending on the context. CNN’s Leila Gharagozlou explains. A federal…
  • President JD Vance? More slogging through a sewer of odious politics.The Washington Post · 4 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Temperate Americans of…
  • JD Vance blames Iran, but Ohio voters saw something far uglierThe Washington Post · 4 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The vice president’s…
  • JD Vance breaking with Donald Trump is a 'delicate dance,' GOP advisor saysFox News · 4 days agoFox News JD Vance breaking with Donald Trump is a 'delicate dance,' GOP advisor says Former NRSC senior advisor Matt Whitlock discusses Vice President JD Vance's comments on the Iran war's impact on the midterm elections on 'The Story.'
  • President Trump weighs in on JD Vance's assessment of Republican lossesCBS News · 4 days agoCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change President Trump weighs in on JD Vance's assessment of Republican losses Six people killed in Brooklyn house fire Author Michael…

Related markets

All president 2028 ›

US Presidential Election Winner 2028

26%Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.26%
  • Jon Ossoff19%
  • JD Vance13%
21 more
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10%
  • Marco Rubio8%
  • Gavin Newsom6%
  • Ron DeSantis4%
  • Andy Beshear4%
  • Kamala Harris3%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Josh Shapiro2%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Nikki Haley2%
  • Gretchen Whitmer2%
  • Glenn Youngkin2%
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • JB Pritzker2%
  • Tulsi Gabbard2%
  • Cory Booker2%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy2%
  • Brian Kemp2%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Tim Walz1%
  • Ro Khanna1%

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%Jon Ossoff
  • Jon Ossoff27%▲ 2
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
  • Gavin Newsom9%▲ 1
53 more
  • Pete Buttigieg6%
  • Kamala Harris5%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Andy Beshear4%
  • Raphael Warnock4%
  • Ro Khanna2%▼ 1
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • James Talarico2%▼ 1
  • J.B. Pritzker2%
  • Abdul El-Sayed1%▼ 1
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%▲ 1
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Roy Cooper1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Jon Stewart<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Bernie Sanders<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Adam Hamilton<1%
  • Scott Colom<1%

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

94%Pete Buttigieg
  • Pete Buttigieg94%▲ 1
  • Andy Beshear92%▲ 1
  • J.B. Pritzker89%
35 more
  • Rahm Emanuel88%▼ 1
  • Josh Shapiro88%▲ 2
  • Ro Khanna84%▼ 6
  • Gavin Newsom83%▼ 2
  • Cory Booker79%▼ 1
  • Mark Kelly76%▲ 1
  • Wes Moore72%▲ 2
  • Jon Ossoff69%
  • Kamala Harris64%▲ 2
  • Chris Van Hollen63%▼ 10
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez61%▲ 7
  • Mitch Landrieu60%
  • Raphael Warnock57%▼ 4
  • Ruben Gallego55%▲ 12
  • Elissa Slotkin47%▼ 6
  • Gretchen Whitmer40%▲ 3
  • Jared Polis32%▼ 3
  • Chris Murphy27%▼ 2
  • Dean Phillips24%▼ 1
  • Phil Murphy24%▼ 4
  • Mikie Sherrill22%
  • Shawn Fain22%▲ 1
  • Roy Cooper19%▲ 2
  • Amy Klobuchar15%
  • Mark Cuban12%▼ 6
  • James Talarico12%▼ 1
  • Stephen A. Smith11%▼ 2
  • Hunter Biden10%▼ 6
  • John Fetterman9%▼ 3
  • Abigail Spanberger9%▼ 8
  • Jon Stewart8%▲ 1
  • Michelle Obama7%
  • Tim Walz4%
  • Hillary Clinton4%
  • Barack Obama2%
KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2028 · $16.7K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions