US Presidential Election (Nov 7, 2028)
18%JD Vance
- JD Vance18%
- Gavin Newsom13%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10%
Install
US Presidential Election Winner 2028
The odds
26%Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.26%
- Jon Ossoff19%
- JD Vance13%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10%
- Marco Rubio8%
- Gavin Newsom6%
- Ron DeSantis4%
- Andy Beshear4%
- Kamala Harris3%
- Pete Buttigieg3%
- Josh Shapiro2%
- Mark Kelly2%
12 more
- Nikki Haley2%
- Gretchen Whitmer2%
- Glenn Youngkin2%
- Ted Cruz2%
- JB Pritzker2%
- Tulsi Gabbard2%
- Cory Booker2%
- Vivek Ramaswamy2%
- Brian Kemp2%
- Wes Moore1%
- Tim Walz1%
- Ro Khanna1%
How the odds have moved
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 15% on Oct 26, 26% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Crypto.com. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 26% | 47¢ | $2.13 | 44.00 | ||
| Jon Ossoff | 19% | 19¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 2.7K | |
| JD Vance | 13% | 13¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 435 | |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 10% | 10¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 1.4K | |
| Marco Rubio | 8% | 8¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 1.2K | |
| Gavin Newsom | 6% | 6¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 36.00 | |
| Ron DeSantis | 4% | 4¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 42.00 | |
| Andy Beshear | 4% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 311 | |
| Kamala Harris | 3% | 3¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 202 | |
| Pete Buttigieg | 3% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 188 | |
| Josh Shapiro | 2% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 11.00 | |
| Mark Kelly | 2% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 674 | ||
| Nikki Haley | 2% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| Gretchen Whitmer | 2% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| Glenn Youngkin | 2% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 78.00 | ||
| Ted Cruz | 2% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 220 | ||
| JB Pritzker | 2% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 310 | ||
| Tulsi Gabbard | 2% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| Cory Booker | 2% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 2% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| Brian Kemp | 2% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 50.00 | ||
| Wes Moore | 1% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| Tim Walz | 1% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| Ro Khanna | 1% | 4¢ | $25.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on ForecastEx
- US Presidential Election (Nov 7, 2028)Gavin NewsomForecastEx 13%Crypto.com 6%7 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The same question on Kalshi
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?Ron DeSantisKalshi 7%Crypto.com 4%3 pts apart
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
20%Jon Ossoff
- Jon Ossoff20%▼ 2
- J.D. Vance13%▼ 1
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10%
- Marco Rubio9%▼ 1
28 more
- Gavin Newsom8%
- Ron DeSantis7%▲ 1
- Andy Beshear3%
- Kamala Harris3%▼ 1
- James Talarico3%
- Pete Buttigieg3%
- Josh Shapiro2%
- J.B. Pritzker2%
- Mark Kelly2%
- Wes Moore2%
- Donald J. Trump1%
- Tucker Carlson1%
- Rahm Emanuel1%
- Thomas Massie1%
- Glenn Youngkin1%
- Ro Khanna1%
- Tulsi Gabbard1%
- Ted Cruz1%
- Gretchen Whitmer1%
- Nikki Haley1%
- Donald J. Trump Jr.<1%
- Jamie Dimon<1%
- Stephen A. Smith<1%
- Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
- Greg Abbott<1%
- Hunter Biden<1%
- Tim Walz<1%
- Doug Burgum<1%
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The same question on Polymarket
- Presidential Election Winner 2028JD VancePolymarket 18%Crypto.com 13%5 pts apart
Presidential Election Winner 2028
19%Jon Ossoff
- Jon Ossoff19%▲ 2
- JD Vance18%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%
- Marco Rubio9%
54 more
- Gavin Newsom8%
- Ron DeSantis6%▼ 1
- Kamala Harris3%▼ 1
- Pete Buttigieg3%
- Josh Shapiro3%
- Andy Beshear2%
- Thomas Massie2%
- Tucker Carlson2%
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
- Donald Trump1%
- Raphael Warnock1%
- Wes Moore1%
- James Talarico1%
- Mark Kelly1%
- Ro Khanna1%
- Abdul El-Sayed1%
- JB Pritzker1%
- Ivanka Trump1%
- Ted Cruz1%
- Glenn Youngkin<1%
- Donald Trump Jr.<1%
- Rahm Emanuel<1%
- Gretchen Whitmer<1%
- Nikki Haley<1%
- Elon Musk<1%
- Michelle Obama<1%
- Jamie Dimon<1%
- Tom Cotton<1%
- Cory Booker<1%
- Tulsi Gabbard<1%
- Zohran Mamdani<1%
- Elissa Slotkin<1%
- Stephen Smith<1%
- Tim Walz<1%
- Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
- Greg Abbott<1%
- LeBron James<1%
- Kim Kardashian<1%
- Eric Trump<1%
- Pete Hegseth<1%
- Jalen Brunson<1%
- Abigail Spanberger<1%
- Hakeem Jeffries<1%
- Adam Schiff<1%
- Josh Stein<1%
- Alex Padilla<1%
- Candace Owens<1%
- Tim Scott<1%
- Mike Johnson<1%
- Doug Burgum<1%
- John N. Kennedy<1%
- Rick Scott<1%
- James Fishback<1%
- Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Jon Ossoff, JD Vance
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All president 2028 ›Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
32%JD Vance
- JD Vance32%
- Marco Rubio18%
- Ron DeSantis17%
9 more
- Tucker Carlson5%
- Glenn Youngkin4%
- Brian Kemp4%
- Ted Cruz4%
- Donald J. Trump Jr.3%
- Nikki Haley3%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.3%
- Tulsi Gabbard3%
- Vivek Ramaswamy3%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
27%Jon Ossoff
- Jon Ossoff27%▲ 2
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom9%▲ 1
53 more
- Pete Buttigieg6%
- Kamala Harris5%
- Josh Shapiro5%
- Andy Beshear4%
- Raphael Warnock4%
- Ro Khanna2%▼ 1
- Wes Moore2%
- Mark Kelly2%
- James Talarico2%▼ 1
- J.B. Pritzker2%
- Abdul El-Sayed1%▼ 1
- Rahm Emanuel1%
- Chelsea Clinton1%▲ 1
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
- Gretchen Whitmer1%
- Cory Booker1%
- Roy Cooper1%
- Michelle Obama<1%
- Ruben Gallego<1%
- Jon Stewart<1%
- Hillary Clinton<1%
- Bernie Sanders<1%
- Chris Murphy<1%
- Chris Van Hollen<1%
- Stephen A. Smith<1%
- Mark Cuban<1%
- Gina Raimondo<1%
- Zohran Mamdani<1%
- Jared Polis<1%
- Barack Obama<1%
- Phil Murphy<1%
- Hunter Biden<1%
- Jasmine Crockett<1%
- Abigail Spanberger<1%
- Hakeem Jeffries<1%
- Elissa Slotkin<1%
- Josh Stein<1%
- Mitch Landrieu<1%
- Tim Walz<1%
- MrBeast<1%
- Oprah Winfrey<1%
- John Fetterman<1%
- Liz Cheney<1%
- LeBron James<1%
- George Clooney<1%
- Andrew Yang<1%
- Beto O’Rourke<1%
- Kim Kardashian<1%
- Graham Platner<1%
- Adam Schiff<1%
- Alex Padilla<1%
- Adam Hamilton<1%
- Scott Colom<1%
Blue wave in 2026?
>99%chance▲ 8
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)
44.0median
39.548.5
Median 44.0Middle half 43.8 – 44.3
AP calls the House by...?
>99%November 4, 11:59 PM
- November 4, 11:59 PM>99%▲ 22
- November 5, 11:59 PM>99%▲ 18
- November 6, 11:59 PM>99%▲ 16
3 more
- November 15, 11:59 PM>99%▲ 6
- November 30, 11:59 PM>99%▲ 2
- November 3, 11:59 PM<1%▼ 40
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
94%Pete Buttigieg
- Pete Buttigieg94%▲ 1
- Andy Beshear92%▲ 1
- J.B. Pritzker89%
35 more
- Rahm Emanuel88%▼ 1
- Josh Shapiro88%▲ 2
- Ro Khanna84%▼ 6
- Gavin Newsom83%▼ 2
- Cory Booker79%▼ 1
- Mark Kelly76%▲ 1
- Wes Moore72%▲ 2
- Jon Ossoff69%
- Kamala Harris64%▲ 2
- Chris Van Hollen63%▼ 10
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez61%▲ 7
- Mitch Landrieu60%
- Raphael Warnock57%▼ 4
- Ruben Gallego55%▲ 12
- Elissa Slotkin47%▼ 6
- Gretchen Whitmer40%▲ 3
- Jared Polis32%▼ 3
- Chris Murphy27%▼ 2
- Dean Phillips24%▼ 1
- Phil Murphy24%▼ 4
- Mikie Sherrill22%
- Shawn Fain22%▲ 1
- Roy Cooper19%▲ 2
- Amy Klobuchar15%
- Mark Cuban12%▼ 6
- James Talarico12%▼ 1
- Stephen A. Smith11%▼ 2
- Hunter Biden10%▼ 6
- John Fetterman9%▼ 3
- Abigail Spanberger9%▼ 8
- Jon Stewart8%▲ 1
- Michelle Obama7%
- Tim Walz4%
- Hillary Clinton4%
- Barack Obama2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions