2028 Democratic VP nominee

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 7, 2028 · $885 today · $172K traded · $106K at stake · prices read 19 min ago

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The odds

12%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%▼ 2
  • Gretchen Whitmer10%
  • James Talarico8%
  • Pete Buttigieg8%
  • Mark Kelly7%
  • Wes Moore6%
  • Jon Ossoff5%▲ 1
  • Elissa Slotkin5%▲ 1
  • Andy Beshear5%▲ 2
  • Raphael Warnock4%
  • Gavin Newsom2%▼ 1
  • Josh Shapiro2%
33 more
  • Ruben Gallego2%
  • Roy Cooper2%
  • Michelle Obama2%
  • Ro Khanna2%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Kamala Harris1%
  • Amy Klobuchar1%▼ 1
  • Gina Raimondo1%
  • Mark Cuban1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Hunter Biden1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Elizabeth Warren<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Beto O'Rourke<1%
  • Bernie Sanders<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Jon Stewart<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Tony Evers<1%
  • Dwayne Johnson<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%

How the odds have moved

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 9% on Oct 20, 12% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% ▼ 2 11¢ 13¢ $7.69 364.9K
Gretchen Whitmer 10% 9¢ 10¢ $10.42 258.6K
James Talarico 8% 8¢ 8¢ $12.66 232.1K
Pete Buttigieg 8% 7¢ 8¢ $12.66 162.8K
Mark Kelly 7% 7¢ 8¢ $13.33 120.3K
Wes Moore 6% 6¢ 6¢ $16.39 83.2K
Jon Ossoff 5% ▲ 1 5¢ 6¢ $16.13 177.5K
Elissa Slotkin 5% ▲ 1 5¢ 5¢ $20.41 192.7K
Andy Beshear 5% ▲ 2 4¢ 6¢ $17.86 187.5K
Raphael Warnock 4% 4¢ 5¢ $22.22 103.8K
Gavin Newsom 2% ▼ 1 2¢ 3¢ $35.71 181.7K
Josh Shapiro 2% 2¢ 2¢ $50.00 116.5K
Ruben Gallego 2% 2¢ 2¢ $50.00 59.5K
Roy Cooper 2% 2¢ 2¢ $50.00 102.2K
Michelle Obama 2% 2¢ 2¢ $50.00 126.7K
Ro Khanna 2% 2¢ 2¢ $55.56 114.1K
J.B. Pritzker 1% 1¢ 2¢ $58.82 84.6K
Kamala Harris 1% 1¢ 2¢ $55.56 167.2K
Amy Klobuchar 1% ▼ 1 0¢ 1¢ $83.33 67.2K
Gina Raimondo 1% 1¢ 1¢ 63.8K
Mark Cuban 1% 0¢ 1¢ 57.8K
Cory Booker 1% 0¢ 1¢ 34.8K
Rahm Emanuel 1% 0¢ 1¢ 36.8K
Hunter Biden 1% 0¢ 1¢ 128.2K
Chris Murphy <1% 0¢ 1¢ 27.0K
Barack Obama <1% 0¢ 0¢ 25.1K
Elizabeth Warren <1% 0¢ 1¢ 3.4K
Tim Walz <1% 0¢ 0¢ 84.6K
Beto O'Rourke <1% 0¢ 0¢ 3.8K
Bernie Sanders <1% 0¢ 0¢ 14.1K
Andrew Yang <1% 0¢ 0¢ 16.8K
Jasmine Crockett <1% 0¢ 1¢ 20.7K
John Fetterman <1% 0¢ 0¢ 85.2K
Jon Stewart <1% 0¢ 0¢ 27.4K
Jamie Dimon <1% 0¢ 0¢ 8.0K
Zohran Mamdani <1% 0¢ 0¢ 102.8K
Graham Platner <1% 0¢ 0¢ 79.2K
Jared Polis <1% 0¢ 0¢ 5.0K
Tony Evers <1% 0¢ 0¢ 21.1K
Dwayne Johnson <1% 0¢ 0¢ 11.7K
Phil Murphy <1% 0¢ 0¢ 2.9K
Hillary Clinton <1% 0¢ 0¢ 1.7K
Liz Cheney <1% 0¢ 0¢ 7.0K
LeBron James <1% 0¢ 31.1K
Stephen A. Smith <1% 0¢ 25.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Crypto.com

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

16%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
  • Pete Buttigieg8%
  • Gretchen Whitmer8%
  • Andy Beshear7%
16 more
  • Mark Kelly6%
  • Jon Ossoff6%
  • Wes Moore6%
  • Elissa Slotkin6%
  • Raphael Warnock5%
  • Gavin Newsom4%
  • Kamala Harris3%
  • Roy Cooper3%
  • Michelle Obama3%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • J.B. Pritzker3%
  • Ruben Gallego3%
  • Tony Evers2%
  • Mark Cuban2%
  • Tim Walz2%
  • John Fetterman2%
Crypto.comCloses Jan 31, 2029 · $6.5K today · $6.5K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Polymarket

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

16%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%▼ 3
  • Jon Ossoff11%▼ 3
  • Gretchen Whitmer11%▲ 2
  • James Talarico7%
39 more
  • Mark Kelly6%▲ 1
  • Wes Moore6%
  • Zohran Mamdani6%
  • Elissa Slotkin5%▲ 1
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Raphael Warnock4%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • Josh Shapiro2%
  • Roy Cooper2%
  • Ruben Gallego2%
  • Gavin Newsom2%
  • Kamala Harris2%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Tim Walz1%
  • Gina Raimondo1%▲ 1
  • Cory Booker1%▲ 1
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Chris Murphy1%
  • Bernie Sanders<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Rahm Emanuel<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • Chelsea Clinton<1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
PolymarketCloses Nov 7, 2028 · $3.1K today · $177K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Democratic VP, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gretchen Whitmer

Search ›

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All president 2028 ›
Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%Jon Ossoff
  • Jon Ossoff27%▲ 2
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
  • Gavin Newsom9%▲ 1
54 more
  • Pete Buttigieg6%
  • Kamala Harris5%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Andy Beshear4%
  • Raphael Warnock4%
  • Ro Khanna2%▼ 1
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • James Talarico2%▼ 1
  • J.B. Pritzker2%
  • Abdul El-Sayed1%▼ 1
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%▲ 1
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Roy Cooper1%
  • Shawn Fain1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Jon Stewart<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Bernie Sanders<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Adam Hamilton<1%
  • Scott Colom<1%
Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%Jon Ossoff
  • Jon Ossoff19%▲ 2
  • JD Vance18%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%
55 more
  • Marco Rubio9%
  • Gavin Newsom8%
  • Ron DeSantis6%▼ 1
  • Kamala Harris3%▼ 1
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Thomas Massie2%
  • Tucker Carlson2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • James Talarico1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Abdul El-Sayed1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.<1%
  • Rahm Emanuel<1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Cory Booker<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
  • James Fishback<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

33%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance33%
  • Marco Rubio20%▼ 1
  • Ron DeSantis15%
40 more
  • Tucker Carlson4%
  • John McEntee4%
  • Ted Cruz3%
  • Thomas Massie3%
  • Glenn Youngkin2%
  • Brian Kemp2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Nikki Haley1%
  • Byron Donalds1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Josh Hawley1%
  • Rand Paul1%
  • Joe Kent1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene1%
  • Tom Cotton1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions