Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Marco Rubio
19%
18¢
19¢
$5.26
370.1K
Donald J. Trump Jr.
4%
4¢
5¢
$22.22
90.5K
Katie Britt
4%
3¢
5¢
$20.83
61.6K
Erika Kirk
4%
3¢
4¢
$27.03
169.8K
Ron DeSantis
3%
3¢
4¢
$25.00
73.1K
J.D. Vance
3%
3¢
3¢
$31.25
244.6K
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
3¢
3¢
$30.30
100.2K
Byron Donalds
3%
3¢
3¢
$34.48
46.2K
Glenn Youngkin
2%
2¢
3¢
$35.71
141.1K
Tulsi Gabbard
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
50.8K
Nikki Haley
2%
1¢
2¢
$55.56
55.0K
Tim Scott
2%
▼ 1
1¢
2¢
$50.00
6.2K
Eric Schmitt
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
6.7K
Elise Stefanik
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
48.1K
Josh Hawley
1%
1¢
2¢
$62.50
50.5K
Ted Cruz
1%
1¢
2¢
$66.67
24.9K
Brian Kemp
1%
1¢
2¢
$66.67
24.8K
Donald J. Trump
1%
1¢
1¢
$83.33
205.1K
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
1¢
1¢
$100.00
19.8K
Greg Abbott
1%
1¢
1¢
8.8K
Elon Musk
1%
1¢
1¢
$100.00
76.7K
Matt Gaetz
<1%
0¢
0¢
12.3K
John Thune
<1%
0¢
0¢
9.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Marco Rubio insists he won’t quit Trump admin — but demurs on growing 2028 buzzNew York Post · 4 days agoSecretary of State Marco Rubio says he is staying put as speculation swirls about his 2028 ambitions, which he declined to address. The top US diplomat and national security adviser dismissed reports by multiple outlets Thursday indicating…
JD Vance and Marco Rubio emerge as key 2028 Republican presidential contendersFox Business · 5 days agoThe 2028 Republican presidential race begins to take shape as analysts evaluate potential contenders. President Donald Trump's upcoming policy decisions and Don Junior's early endorsement of JD Vance spark active on-air debate. Meanwhile…
Why the 2026 Midterms Could Hurt JD Vance and Help Marco Rubio in 2028Newsweek · 5 days agoNov 04, 2026 at 07:08 PM EST Nov 04, 2026 at 07:28 PM EST Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio woke up Wednesday to a political map far less friendly to their 2028 ambitions. While many expected a strong night for…
Politico’s Jonathan Martin says Katie Britt in the 2028 U.S. presidential conversationYellowhammer News · 4 days agoJonathan Martin of top D.C. outlet Politico, put U.S. Senator Katie Britt (R-Montgomery) on the list of Republicans who have to decide now whether to run for president in 2028. He told MS NOW’s “Morning Joe” on Thursday that the midterm…
Marco Rubio On ‘Resignation Watch’Political Wire · 4 days ago“Marco Rubio is on resignation watch from both sides of the Atlantic in the expectation he will quit to launch a bid to be the next U.S. president,” The Independent reports. “Insiders say the U.S. secretary of state and White House…
Marco Rubio 'planning to resign' after Republican defeat in midtermsDaily Star · 4 days agoUS Secretary of State Marco Rubio(Image: AFP via Getty Images) Another Trump administration official could jump ship after the Republican Party's dismal performance in the midterm elections this week. He could now look to run for…
Marco Rubio's exit odds hit 55% amid 2028 speculationKalshi News · 4 days agoReports suggest the secretary of state could leave the administration ahead of a potential 2028 presidential campaign. Kalshi traders have sharply increased their expectations that Secretary of State Marco Rubio will leave the Trump…
Marco Rubio ‘on resignation watch’ - reportinvestingLive · 5 days agoThe Independent reports that Marco Rubio "is on resignation watch from both sides of the Atlantic in the expectation he will quit to lauch a bid to be the next US President". The report cites "senior party sources in the US and senior…
Marco Rubio Pushes Back On Idea He Plans to ResignPolitical Wire · 4 days ago“Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s office is pushing back against reports that claim he plans to resign to focus on a potential 2028 presidential bid,” NewsNation reports. Said Assistant Secretary of State Dylan Johnson: “This is complete…
Marco Rubio dismisses reports of leaving Trump administrationCNBCTV18 · 4 days agoUS Secretary of State Marco Rubio has dismissed reports that he is considering leaving the Trump administration, saying he intends to serve President Donald Trump until the end of his term. "It has always been my plan" to work for Trump…
Marco Rubio denies plans to resign as 2028 speculation growsFrance 24 · 4 days agoUS Secretary of State Marco Rubio dismissed reports on Thursday that he planned to leave the administration after Republican midterm losses, telling The New York Times he intended to serve through the end of President Donald Trump’s term…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions