Will James Fishback announce a run for public office? (Before Jul 1, 2027)

Kalshi Elections Closes Jul 1, 2027 · $2.2K traded · $918 at stake · prices read 2 h ago

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The odds

60%Before Jan 1, 2027
  • Before Jan 1, 202760%
  • Before Jul 1, 202769%

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2027: 25% on Oct 19, 60% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 29, 10 PM ETBefore Jan 1, 2027: 69% → 54%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027 60% 37¢ 60¢ $1.67 1.6K
Before Jul 1, 2027 69% 45¢ 69¢ $1.45 1.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: James Fishback

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  • James Fishback Retracts Claims Against Florida Congressmen, Issues ApologyNewsweek · 12 days agoOct 28, 2026 at 07:15 AM EDT James Fishback has retracted his claim that Florida Representatives Byron Donalds and Cory Mills were under federal investigation. He said he made a "terrible mistake" and apologized to the congressmen and…
  • James Fishback Urges People To Buy An AR-15 To Protect Their Children From 'James Talafreako'People For · 11 days agoJames Fishback says those concerned about America should buy an AR-15 so that "when James Talafreako is banging on your door with one of his favorite drag queens" to take your child away, "they stare at the end of a rifle barrel." James…
  • James Fishback Says Deputies Threatened Arrest at Donalds EventHoodline · 13 days agoAccording to CBS12, Fishback said deputies with the Pinellas County Sheriff's Office were the ones who threatened him with arrest as he tried to enter the Clearwater event. His news release did not specify what led to the confrontation or…
  • Trump's endorsement strength will be put to test in Florida primariesJust The News · 10 days agoByron Donalds will square off against Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, former Florida Speaker of the House Paul Renner, and outsider candidate James Fishback. Florida voters are set to head to the polls to choose the Republican and Democratic…
  • I attended a woke right event. Here’s what worried me.Christian Forums · 10 days agoJames Fishback lost the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary, receiving only about 10% of the vote, but that hasn't stopped his political ambitions. He has continued his college campus tour, speaking at several Turning Point USA…
  • First Republican Announces 2028 White House RunConservative Brief · 12 days agoFormer Florida gubernatorial candidate James Fishback announced this week that he will be running for president in 2028. He presented himself as a conservative outsider focused on affordability and immigration. He also advocated…
  • Externally UnassumingPeople For · 12 days agoSlick Silver Tongue Break The System Something They Have Worked Through - James Fishback is now apologizing for falsely alleging that Rep. Byron Donalds was "under investigation for federal sex trafficking" and would soon be charged…
  • “I’m Running For President,” Former Republican Gubernatorial Candidate Says – 100PercentFedUp.com – by Danielle100PercentFedUp.com · 12 days agoFormer Florida gubernatorial candidate James Fishback said he intends to run for president. Fishback lost the Florida GOP gubernatorial primary to Trump-endorsed Rep. Byron Donalds (R-FL). “Last night, someone asked me ‘What do you plan on…
  • 'Not welcome': James Fishback allegedly blocked from entering 'Get out and Vote' rallyWPEC · 16 days agoCLEARWATER, Fla. (CBS12) — Former Florida gubernatorial candidate James Fishback says he was told he was not welcome at a public get-out-the-vote rally in Clearwater on Saturday, though the Pinellas County Sheriff's Office disputes his…
  • Florida’s new TrumpPOLITICO · 15 days agoThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. By DASHA BURNS, WILL STEAKIN and ADAM WREN 10/23/2026 06:05 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Happy Friday. As Election Day bears…
  • Letter to the Editor: Echo chambers do not promote a variety of viewpointsThe Daily Mississippian · 14 days agoLast month, the Turning Point USA chapter at the University of Mississippi hosted James Fishback, a far-right political figure espousing the beliefs of a white supremacist. With conservative influencer Nick Shirley arriving to speak for…
  • Send A MessagePeople For · 14 days agoThe Babysitter Test Committing High Treason The David Barton Research Center - Hank Kunneman says Christians must vote in the midterm elections "to send a message to every organization, every wicked corrupt lunatic that has tried to steal…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions