Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Nov 4, 10 PM ETTaylor Wettach: 94% → 59%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Taylor Wettach
97%
95¢
99¢
$1.01
4.5K
Chris Cournoyer
3%
1¢
5¢
$20.00
546
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iowa State Auditor, Taylor Wettach, Chris Cournoyer
Taylor Wettach wins State Auditor’s raceKCRG · 4 days agoKCRG Taylor Wettach wins State Auditor’s race Linn County auditor eyes more voting locations as early voting grows Prosecutor explains charges against Marion woman in newborn’s death Republican and Democrat win Buchanan County supervisor…
Rob Sand, Iowa state auditor, running for governor in 2026 midterm electionsHindustan Times · 7 days agoRob Sand has led an inquisitive life, focusing on the inner workings of his own government rather than leading it. Following his tenure as Iowa’s state auditor since 2019, the Democrat is now running for governor, having built a reputation…
Wettach overcomes Cournoyer in tight State Auditor raceEnterprise Media - · 4 days agoWinneshiek County helped propel Democrat Taylor Wettach toward Tuesdayu2019s victory in the race for Iowau2019s next State Auditor. The Muscatine attorney received 5,354 votes from Winneshiek County for nearly 53 percent of the vote…
Blue wave topples one more Iowa executive officeThe Daily Iowan · 5 days agoOf the five executive offices in Iowa, four were occupied by incumbent Republicans leading up to the 2026 midterm elections. Following a blue wave that flipped not only the U.S. House and Senate seats in Iowa, but much of the nation, a…
Election 2026: AP calls Iowa Attorney General race for Democratic challenger@WOWT6News · 4 days agoDES MOINES, Iowa (WOWT) - Iowans elected a new state Attorney General on Tuesday. Bird actually conceded the race on Tuesday, but AP had not yet made its call until Thursday. It had been one of the state’s tightest races, with about 23,000…
ROB SAND ELECTED GOVERNOR OF IOWAKSCJ 1360 · 5 days agoDEMOCRATS WON SOME OF IOWA’S KEY EXECUTIVE BRANCH POSITIONS IN TUESDAY’S ELECTION. FORMER STATE AUDITOR ROB SAND IS THE NEW GOVERNOR ELECT OF THE HAWKEYE STATE. SANDWINS OC…..THE NEXT TIME. :15 SAND AND LT. GOVERNOR CANDIDATE DAVE…
Democrats win big in IowaThe N'West Iowa REVIEW · 5 days agoChris McGowan, the Republican running for Iowa’s 4th Congressional District in 2026, spoke before Vice President JD Vance at a rally in Council Bluffs Sept. 18, 2026. LE MARS — It was a blue tsunami nationwide on Tuesday night as Democrats…
Election results 2026Community Newspaper Group · 5 days agoResults from the Nov. 3 election are in with a total of 1,380,528 cast ballots across the state and a 63.37% turnout for registered voters. County Supervisor District 2 In a narrow victory Republican incumbent Corey Cerwinske holds his…
State sees blue wave in 2026 mid-termsCommunity Newspaper Group · 5 days agoFayette County voters have spoken Tuesday night, voting and passing Public Measure HK that would support local emergency medical services with a tax levy. As for the rest of the state, three of six state races turned blue on the night in…
Sand wins Iowa, Carroll leans LahnCarroll Times Herald · 5 days agoEarly Wednesday morning, AP News called the unofficial results for the Iowa Midterms, flipping most major state and federal seats to Democrat. Rob Sand (D) was declared Iowa Governor, Josh Turek (D) for U.S. Senate and Chris McGowan (R)…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions