How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026?

Kalshi Elections Closes Jul 1, 2027 · $1 today · $17K traded · $1.1K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

30,972median
22,50052,500
Median 30,972Middle half 28,085 – 34,914

How the odds have moved

Median: 31,016 on Oct 20, 30,972 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 25,000 92% 91¢ 92¢ $1.09 4.8K
Above 27,500 81% 80¢ 81¢ $1.23 3.9K
Above 30,000 57% 55¢ 59¢ $1.69 10.4K
Above 32,500 39% 37¢ 41¢ $2.44 3.8K
Above 35,000 25% 22¢ 27¢ $3.70 2.6K
Above 37,500 17% 14¢ 20¢ $5.00 4.2K
Above 40,000 14% 14¢ 15¢ $6.67 5.3K
Above 42,500 6% ▲ 1 5¢ 6¢ $16.67 45.00
Above 45,000 4% 3¢ 4¢ $25.00
Above 47,500 3% 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 128
Above 50,000 3% 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 96.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Michigan

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  • Michigan, Michigan State team up in "Piss Off" competitionCBS News · 4 days agoCBS News Michigan, Michigan State team up in "Piss Off" competition Henry Ford Health investing $15M near Detroit and Jackson hospitals Garlin Gilchrist talks about winning Michigan's secretary of state race Democrats planning first steps…
  • Michigan Attorney General Election Live Results 2026AP News · 4 days agoAP News Michigan Attorney General results When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply…
  • Michigan House elects new leadership as Democrats reclaim majorityCBS News · 4 days agoNovember 5, 2026 / 10:08 PM EST / CBS Detroit The Michigan House announced its new leadership on Thursday as the Democratic Party reclaimed the majority in the 2026 midterm election. Rep. Ranjeev Puri (D-Canton) was named the House Speaker…
  • Eli Savit talks winning Michigan's attorney general raceCBS News · 4 days agoCBS News Eli Savit talks winning Michigan's attorney general race Orthopedic surgeon discusses Jack Campbell's injury Detroit mother charged after 2-year-old shot at home Livonia police use Grappler to end chase Michigan voters considered…
  • DTE, Consumers Energy file federal lawsuit challenging Michigan Proposal 2CBS News · 4 days agoNovember 5, 2026 / 11:37 PM EST / CBS Detroit Just two days after voters overwhelmingly approved Proposal 2, which sought to block investor-owned utilities and other state contractors from making political donations in Michigan, the…
  • Garlin Gilchrist talks about winning Michigan's secretary of state raceCBS News · 4 days agoCBS News Garlin Gilchrist talks about winning Michigan's secretary of state race Michigan expert speaks on historic wins in midterm election Renaissance Center development plan funding moves forward What to know about March of Dimes' Black…
  • Michigan voters considered two ballot proposals on Nov. 3CBS News · 4 days agoCBS News Michigan voters considered two ballot proposals on Nov. 3 Livonia police use Grappler to end chase Lawmakers react to Democratic Party wins Highland Park mayor-elect looks forward to role Republicans reflecting after election…
  • Michigan Governor resultsAP News · 6 days agoLive results for the 2026 Michigan Governor general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178…
  • 2026 Michigan Midterm Election ResultsAP News · 5 days agoAP News AP’s guide to this state When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell you…
  • Michigan Senate winner clashes with reporter hours before election victory-pqYyRmeVIgdTLihxPzduDl8jJQ_5W8vCwmtcFecWXmfXVWAFox News · 4 days agoFox News Michigan Senate winner clashes with reporter hours before election victory-pqYyRmeVIgdTLihxPzduDl8jJQ_5W8vCwmtcFecWXmfXVWA Then-Michigan Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed clashes with Sky News reporter James Matthews hours before his…
  • Democratic Rep. Ranjeev Puri named state minority leader in Michigan HouseCBS News · 4 days agoNovember 7, 2024 / 11:33 PM EST / CBS Detroit LANSING, Mich. (CBS DETROIT) - Rep. Ranjeev Puri (D-Canton) has been named the minority House leader for the 2025-2026 term. Puri was selected after the Democrats lost the majority in the state…
  • Dearborn, Michigan, mayor on city's record turnout and the election of Abdul El-SayedNPR · 4 days agoNPR Dearborn, Michigan, mayor on city's record turnout and the election of Abdul El-Sayed NPR host Leila Fadel speaks with Abdullah Hammoud, the mayor of Dearborn, Michigan, about why his city turned out in record numbers to elect Abdul…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions