Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO? (Before Jan 1, 2099)

Kalshi Elections Closes Jan 8, 2099 · $1 today · $916 traded · $349 at stake · prices read 9 h ago

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The odds

30%Mette Frederiksen
  • Mette Frederiksen30%
  • Keir Starmer19%▼ 1
  • Kaja Kallas16%▼ 1
  • Alexander Stubb13%
  • Petr Pavel5%▼ 1
  • Klaus Iohannis3%
  • Ben Wallace2%
  • Ursula von der Leyen2%

How the odds have moved

Mette Frederiksen: 32% on Oct 19, 30% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Mette Frederiksen 30% 27¢ 33¢ $3.03 697
Keir Starmer 19% ▼ 1 16¢ 22¢ $4.55 1.0K
Kaja Kallas 16% ▼ 1 13¢ 19¢ $5.26 2.0K
Alexander Stubb 13% 11¢ 14¢ $7.14 1.1K
Petr Pavel 5% ▼ 1 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 651
Klaus Iohannis 3% 2¢ 4¢ $25.00 383
Ben Wallace 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.2K
Ursula von der Leyen 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 714

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Secretary General of NATO, Mette Frederiksen, Keir Starmer

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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