Predictions › Elections NYC efficiency savings in FY2027? (the FY2028 Executive Budget) Kalshi ElectionsCloses May 1, 2027 · $849 traded · $331 at stake · prices read 7 h ago
Follow Share Embed % US Dec
$0.0000 $1.6B
Median $758.33M Middle half $400M – $1.08B
Median: $743.75M on Oct 19, $758.33M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FY2028 Executive Budget, FY2027 Search › 125 more AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX <1% AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, ME, MI <1% AK, IA, KS, ME, OH <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, ME, TX <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, MI, OH <1% AK, IA, KS, MI, TX <1% AK, IA, KS, OH, TX <1% ▼ 2 AK, IA, ME, MI, OH <1% AK, IA, ME, MI, TX <1% AK, IA, ME, OH, TX <1% AK, IA, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, KS, ME, MI, OH <1% AK, KS, ME, MI, TX <1% AK, KS, ME, OH, TX <1% AK, KS, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% IA, KS, ME, MI, OH <1% IA, KS, ME, MI, TX <1% IA, KS, ME, OH, TX <1% IA, KS, MI, OH, TX <1% IA, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% KS, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, IA, KS, ME <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, MI <1% AK, IA, KS, OH <1% AK, IA, KS, TX <1% ▼ 3 AK, IA, ME, MI <1% AK, IA, ME, OH <1% AK, IA, ME, TX <1% AK, IA, MI, OH <1% AK, IA, MI, TX <1% AK, IA, OH, TX <1% AK, KS, ME, MI <1% AK, KS, ME, OH <1% AK, KS, ME, TX <1% AK, KS, MI, OH <1% AK, KS, MI, TX <1% AK, KS, OH, TX <1% AK, ME, MI, OH <1% AK, ME, MI, TX <1% AK, ME, OH, TX <1% AK, MI, OH, TX <1% IA, KS, ME, MI <1% IA, KS, ME, OH <1% IA, KS, ME, TX <1% IA, KS, MI, OH <1% IA, KS, MI, TX <1% IA, KS, OH, TX <1% IA, ME, MI, OH <1% IA, ME, MI, TX <1% IA, ME, OH, TX <1% IA, MI, OH, TX <1% KS, ME, MI, OH <1% KS, ME, MI, TX <1% Marine Le Pen 45% David Lisnard 14% ▼ 1 Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% 43 more Édouard Philippe 9% ▲ 1 Christine Lagarde 6% ▼ 1 Teddy Riner 3% Raphaël Glucksmann 2% Jordan Bardella 2% Dominique de Villepin 2% François Hollande 2% Bruno Retailleau 1% Gabriel Attal <1% Éric Zemmour <1% Sarah Knafo <1% Sébastien Lecornu <1% François Baroin <1% Xavier Bertrand <1% Laurent Wauquiez <1% François Ruffin <1% Marine Tondelier <1% Fabien Roussel <1% Olivier Faure <1% Ségolène Royal <1% François Asselineau <1% Clémentine Autain <1% Nicolas Dupont-Aignan <1% Michel Barnier <1% Valérie Pécresse <1% François Bayrou <1% Élisabeth Borne <1% Yaël Braun-Pivet <1% Jean Castex <1% Gérald Darmanin <1% Carole Delga <1% Bernard Cazeneuve <1% Manuel Bompard <1% Mathilde Panot <1% Juan Branco <1% Clémence Guetté <1% Karim Bouamrane <1% Lucie Castets <1% Yannick Jadot <1% Marion Maréchal <1% Natacha Polony <1% Anasse Kazib <1% Sylvain Durif <1% Jon Ossoff 28% ▲ 2 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16% Gavin Newsom 9% ▼ 2 54 more Pete Buttigieg 6% Kamala Harris 5% ▼ 1 Josh Shapiro 5% Andy Beshear 4% Raphael Warnock 4% Ro Khanna 3% Wes Moore 2% Mark Kelly 2% James Talarico 2% ▼ 1 J.B. Pritzker 2% Abdul El-Sayed 1% Rahm Emanuel 1% Chelsea Clinton 1% ▲ 1 Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1% Gretchen Whitmer 1% Cory Booker 1% Roy Cooper 1% Shawn Fain 1% Michelle Obama <1% Ruben Gallego <1% Jon Stewart <1% Hillary Clinton <1% Bernie Sanders <1% Chris Murphy <1% Chris Van Hollen <1% Stephen A. Smith <1% Mark Cuban <1% Gina Raimondo <1% Zohran Mamdani <1% Jared Polis <1% Barack Obama <1% Phil Murphy <1% Hunter Biden <1% Jasmine Crockett <1% Abigail Spanberger <1% Hakeem Jeffries <1% Elissa Slotkin <1% Josh Stein <1% Mitch Landrieu <1% Tim Walz <1% MrBeast <1% Oprah Winfrey <1% John Fetterman <1% Liz Cheney <1% LeBron James <1% George Clooney <1% Andrew Yang <1% Beto O’Rourke <1% Kim Kardashian <1% Graham Platner <1% Adam Schiff <1% Alex Padilla <1% Adam Hamilton <1% Scott Colom <1% Jon Ossoff 18% ▲ 1 JD Vance 17% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% 55 more Marco Rubio 9% Gavin Newsom 8% Ron DeSantis 5% ▼ 1 Kamala Harris 3% ▼ 1 Pete Buttigieg 3% Josh Shapiro 3% Andy Beshear 2% Thomas Massie 2% Tucker Carlson 2% Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1% Donald Trump 1% Raphael Warnock 1% James Talarico 1% Wes Moore 1% Mark Kelly 1% Ro Khanna 1% Abdul El-Sayed 1% JB Pritzker 1% Ivanka Trump 1% Ted Cruz 1% Glenn Youngkin <1% Donald Trump Jr. <1% Rahm Emanuel <1% Gretchen Whitmer <1% Nikki Haley <1% Elon Musk <1% Michelle Obama <1% Jamie Dimon <1% Tom Cotton <1% Cory Booker <1% Tulsi Gabbard <1% Zohran Mamdani <1% Elissa Slotkin <1% Stephen Smith <1% Tim Walz <1% Vivek Ramaswamy <1% Greg Abbott <1% LeBron James <1% Kim Kardashian <1% Eric Trump <1% Pete Hegseth <1% Jalen Brunson <1% Abigail Spanberger <1% Hakeem Jeffries <1% Adam Schiff <1% Josh Stein <1% Alex Padilla <1% Candace Owens <1% Tim Scott <1% Mike Johnson <1% Doug Burgum <1% John N. Kennedy <1% Rick Scott <1% James Fishback <1% Marjorie Taylor Greene <1% Democratic party 98% ▲ 1 Republican party 2% ▼ 1 J.D. Vance 31% ▼ 1 Marco Rubio 20% ▼ 1 Ron DeSantis 15% 40 more Tucker Carlson 4% John McEntee 4% Ted Cruz 3% Thomas Massie 3% Glenn Youngkin 2% Brian Kemp 2% Donald Trump Jr. 2% Nikki Haley 1% Byron Donalds 1% Donald Trump 1% Ivanka Trump 1% Josh Hawley 1% Rand Paul 1% Joe Kent 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders 1% Marjorie Taylor Greene 1% Tom Cotton 1% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. <1% Tim Scott <1% Rick Scott <1% Elon Musk <1% Katie Britt <1% Candace Owens <1% John N. Kennedy <1% Pete Hegseth <1% Tulsi Gabbard <1% Vivek Ramaswamy <1% Greg Abbott <1% Elise Stefanik <1% Kristi Noem <1% Mike Pence <1% Steve Bannon <1% Kim Kardashian <1% Eric Trump <1% Doug Burgum <1% Erika Kirk <1% Matt Gaetz <1% John Thune <1% Tom Brady <1% Mike Johnson <1% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Settles on NYC Mayor’s Office of Management and Budget
Trading closes May 1, 2027 9:59 AM ET
Traded $849 (1,674 contracts)
At stake $331
In the news 2 headlines today, 3 this week
Followed here since Oct 19, 2026
The rules If the NYC OMB-reported FY2027 efficiency savings is above $200 million in the FY2028 Executive Budget, then the market resolves to Yes.
The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi .
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use . How to use Predictions