Will Trump impose term limits on Congress? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

Kalshi Elections Closes Jan 20, 2029 · $380 traded · $169 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

4%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 5% on Oct 19, 4% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 4% 2¢ 6¢ $15.63 8.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Trump

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  • Democrats plan big Trump probes if they win Congress. Then the real fights begin.The Washington Post · 8 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Private businesses are…
  • Trump says he’ll become ‘Mr. Veto’ if Democrats win back Congress | CNN PoliticsCNN · 7 days agoIn new comments on the New York Post’s “Pod Force One” podcast, President Donald Trump reiterated his plans to veto Democratic-backed legislation should they prevail in Tuesday’s midterm elections and win back control of Congress. "Ditch…
  • Trump reveals he’ll use preemptive pardons to protect staff, allies if Dems take CongressNew York Post · 8 days agoPresident Trump revealed he’s willing to issue sweeping preemptive pardons to everyone who worked in his administration if Democrats follow through on threats to prosecute them. “I would if I needed to. Sure,” Trump told The Post’s Miranda…
  • Miranda Devine: Trump confident ahead of midterms — as he issues stark warning if Dems win CongressNew York Post · 8 days agoAs the president finished up the final rallies of his time in politics, he indulged in some rare introspection, admitting to feeling a little nostalgic and wishing he could run again. Having flown all over the country to do 26 rallies in…
  • Trump renews promise of $5K payout if GOP retains Congress in Midterm eve speech at Lincoln Reflecting PoolNew York Post · 7 days agoWASHINGTON — President Trump defended his record and attacked Democratic Senate candidates in Alaska and Michigan in his final speech appealing to voters ahead of the midterm elections — though he spent most of his remarks focused on DC…
  • Can Trumpism Survive the Midterms?CBS News · 7 days agoKevin Williamson, National Correspondent for The Dispatch, on how deep-red states became midterm battlegrounds and what that could mean for the future of MAGA and the GOP. If you'd like to share your own great question, email us at…
  • View / Democrats weigh ‘lawfare’ against Trumpsemafor.com · 7 days agoBefore there was the other Dan Sullivan, there was the other Mike Doyle. Four years ago, when longtime Pittsburgh Democrat Mike Doyle retired from Congress, a left-wing legislator named Summer Lee won the primary to replace him…
  • Emmys to Trump: We’re not riggedPOLITICO · 7 days agoDonald Trump and Simon Cowell give Cynthia Nixon her award on stage during the 56th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards in 2004. | Getty The Emmys reassured the public that their voting process was fair after Hillary Clinton brought up a series…
  • US Midterms Decide Trump’s CongressKurdistan24 · 7 days agoIraq Denies Reports of Airstrike on PMF Military Site in Diyala Democrats need three House seats and a net four in the Senate to take both chambers, with forecasters favoring them in the House and leaning their way in the Senate All 435…
  • Republicans Can Blame Trump for Their Midterm WoesPOLITICO · 7 days agoTariffs, a costly war and political vendettas have left Republicans scrambling to defend their congressional majorities. President Donald Trump owns this upcoming defeat, the author writes. | Francis Chung/POLITICO Jonathan Martin is…
  • President Trump speaks hours ahead of midterm electionsFox News · 7 days agoPresident Donald Trump gives his final midterm pitch to voters in front of the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool. President Trump speaks hours ahead of midterm elections President Donald Trump gives his final midterm pitch to voters in…
  • Trump Eyes Pickaxe Mountain In Fresh Iran ThreatNewsweek · 7 days agoThe U.S. did not attack Pickaxe Mountain in either the brief war in June 2025, nor the campaign from February 2026. - Global Iran WarRussia-UkraineMiddle EastChina And AsiaLive BlogBetter PlanetAll World News President Donald Trump has…

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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

98%None
  • None98%
  • AK2%
  • All 7<1%▼ 3
125 more
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, OH<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, OH, TX<1%▼ 2
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, TX<1%▼ 3
  • AK, IA, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
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  • David Lisnard14%▼ 1
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
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  • Christine Lagarde6%▼ 1
  • Teddy Riner3%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann2%
  • Jordan Bardella2%
  • Dominique de Villepin2%
  • François Hollande2%
  • Bruno Retailleau1%▲ 1
  • Gabriel Attal<1%
  • Éric Zemmour<1%
  • Sébastien Lecornu<1%
  • François Baroin<1%
  • Xavier Bertrand<1%
  • Laurent Wauquiez<1%
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  • Marine Tondelier<1%
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  • Ségolène Royal<1%
  • François Asselineau<1%
  • Clémentine Autain<1%
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  • Michel Barnier<1%
  • Valérie Pécresse<1%
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  • Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
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  • Manuel Bompard<1%
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  • Sarah Knafo<1%
  • Juan Branco<1%
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  • Karim Bouamrane<1%
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  • Marion Maréchal<1%
  • Natacha Polony<1%
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  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
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  • Kamala Harris5%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Andy Beshear4%
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  • Wes Moore2%
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  • Ruben Gallego<1%
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  • Bernie Sanders<1%
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  • Andrew Yang<1%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions