Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Nov 4, 11 PM ETHeather Jefts: 48% → 98%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Heather Jefts
96%
▼ 2
94¢
98¢
$1.02
18.7K
Steven Snell
1%
1¢
$100.00
5.1K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Williamson County Judge, Heather Jefts, Steven Snell
Jefts enjoys early lead in bid to unseat Williamson County Judge SnellAustin American-Statesman · 6 days agoWilliamson County Judge Steve Snell, a Republican, is running for his first full-term in office against Democratic challenger Heather Jefts. Democratic challenger Heather Jefts is leading Republican incumbent Steve Snell in the race for…
Democratic challenger Jefts favored among early Wilco voters in county judge raceWilliamson County Sun · 6 days agoChallenger and Democrat Heather Jefts leads the polls against incumbent Republican Steve Snell for Williamson County Judge with 128,802 total votes, or 56.77%. Republican nominee Steve Snell is running against Democratic opponent Heather…
Follow the Williamson County 2026 election resultsKUT Radio · 6 days agoUnofficial results for the Nov. 3 election show Democrats taking an early lead in several Williamson County races. Democrat Casey Shepard holds a small lead against incumbent Republican August Pfluger in the race for U.S. House District…
Incumbent Snell concedes WilCo judge race as Democrats lead in several county racesCommunity Impact Newspaper · 6 days agoIncumbent Steve Snell conceded the race for Williamson County judge in a phone call with Community Impact. "The votes reflect the voter sentiment with the state of the country and the state right now," Snell said. "So just congratulations…
Unofficial results show Democratic gains in Williamson CountyThe Killeen Daily Herald · 6 days agoDemocrats are poised to take control of several key Williamson County offices following Tuesday's general election, with unofficial results showing Democratic candidates holding substantial margins in four contested races, including county…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions