Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Jon Ossoff
20%
▼ 2
19¢
20¢
$5.00
6.5M
J.D. Vance
13%
▼ 1
12¢
13¢
$7.69
5.3M
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
10¢
10¢
$10.31
5.0M
Marco Rubio
9%
▼ 1
9¢
9¢
$10.87
6.4M
Gavin Newsom
8%
8¢
9¢
$11.76
5.3M
Ron DeSantis
7%
▲ 1
7¢
8¢
$13.33
3.7M
Andy Beshear
3%
3¢
4¢
$28.57
3.0M
Kamala Harris
3%
▼ 1
3¢
3¢
$31.25
3.6M
James Talarico
3%
3¢
3¢
$34.48
3.3M
Pete Buttigieg
3%
3¢
3¢
$35.71
2.8M
Josh Shapiro
2%
2¢
2¢
$43.48
2.6M
J.B. Pritzker
2%
2¢
2¢
$47.62
3.5M
Mark Kelly
2%
2¢
2¢
$45.45
3.0M
Wes Moore
2%
2¢
2¢
$55.56
2.8M
Donald J. Trump
1%
1¢
1¢
$71.43
4.2M
Tucker Carlson
1%
1¢
1¢
$83.33
3.3M
Rahm Emanuel
1%
1¢
1¢
$83.33
2.2M
Thomas Massie
1%
1¢
1¢
1.7M
Glenn Youngkin
1%
1¢
1¢
1.6M
Ro Khanna
1%
1¢
1¢
930.6K
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
1¢
1¢
2.6M
Ted Cruz
1%
1¢
1¢
372.4K
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
1¢
1¢
2.6M
Nikki Haley
1%
0¢
1¢
1.1M
Donald J. Trump Jr.
<1%
0¢
1¢
3.1M
Jamie Dimon
<1%
0¢
1¢
1.6M
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
0¢
0¢
2.6M
Vivek Ramaswamy
<1%
0¢
0¢
2.1M
Greg Abbott
<1%
0¢
0¢
433.4K
Hunter Biden
<1%
0¢
0¢
1.0M
Tim Walz
<1%
0¢
776.8K
Doug Burgum
<1%
0¢
174.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Jon Ossoff wins 2028 straw poll at progressive conferenceWashington Examiner · 37 h agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
Why Republicans should fear Georgia Democrat Jon OssoffNew York Post · 3 days agoRepublicans have a lot of things to worry about after their catastrophic 2026 midterm, and one of them might be Jon Ossoff, the newly reelected Democratic senator from Georgia. The presidential buzz had begun even before Ossoff won…
Kamala Harris Gets Just 0.6% in 2028 Straw Poll as Jon Ossoff LeadsEURweb | Black News · 3 h agoRep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) finished second with 16.6%, followed by former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg at 13.9%, according to results published by Crooked Media. Harris’s six votes, or 0.6%, tied her for 16th place…
Fact check: Does Jon Ossoff back abortion 'up until and past birth'?Yahoo News · 23 h agoIn a contentious debate ahead of Georgia's midterm elections, then-GOP-U.S.-Senate nominee Mike Collins said Democratic incumbent Sen. Jon Ossoff holds an "extreme" position on abortion. "He's all for abortion up until and past birth,"…
Jon Ossoff | Ambition without ambitionThe Hindu · 2 days agoWhile headlines scream Ossoff looks more presidential after his Senate win, he remains focused on his State while attacking Donald Trump and his family There is something of an investigative journalist in Jon Ossoff, who served as managing…
Gavin Newsom’s sees dramatic shift in presidential odds after midterm electionCalifornia Post · 2 days agoCalifornia Gov. Gavin Newsom‘s hopes of making it to the White House may be taking a hit after the midterm elections, with his odds of winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination plunging to an all-time low on prediction markets…
Abdul El-Sayed’s Win Could Launch Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Into the 2028 RaceThe Washington Sun · 4 days agoNovember 5, 2026 05:13 a.m. DETROIT — Democrat Abdul El-Sayed won Michigan’s Senate race with an unapologetic, progressive approach to politics — the type many Democrats were skeptical could win in a battleground state. He shares that…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions